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Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 29?

data as of 2026-07-27 11:07 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 29, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
21¢
NO
79¢
YES
21¢
YesY-NNo
Position$62−$86$148
Holders11−516
Trades26026
NO
79¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.8%
−19.3 pp
72.1%
Avg ROI15.0%
−3.2 pp
18.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.13
+0.16×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.26
+0.33×
×0.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$28
−$65
$93
Recent buyer dominance0.84
−0.16
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-20.1%
−28.2 pp
8.1%
Underwater %98.1%
+95.8 pp
2.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−23.5 pp
23.5%
Bot %0.0%
−42.0 pp
42.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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