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Will Bruno Mars be the top artist in the US for 2026?

data as of 2026-07-15 22:53 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Dec 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
2¢
NO
98¢
YES
2¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1−$24$26
Holders202
Trades8+26
NO
98¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.4%
−18.3 pp
68.7%
Avg ROI35.5%
+27.2 pp
8.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.00
+1.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.83
+0.83×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$5
$5
Recent buyer dominance0.53
−0.47
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-45.2%
−45.2 pp
-0.0%
Underwater %82.6%
−17.4 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %17.4%
+17.4 pp
0.0%
Bot %17.4%
+17.4 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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