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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

data as of 2026-05-05 04:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.0K−$14K$17K
Holders321+76245
Trades2.3K+5981.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.0%
−14.8 pp
57.8%
Avg ROI-0.7%
−1.2 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.77
+11.93×
×0.84
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.75
+11.90×
×0.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.7K
−$8.9K
$11.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
+0.00
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.8%
−112.6 pp
19.8%
Underwater %88.7%
+88.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %62.4%
−9.7 pp
72.1%
Bot %65.5%
−9.5 pp
75.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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