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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 20:49 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K+$3.8K$9.1K
Holders232−48280
Trades1.6K−1101.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.8%
+1.4 pp
49.5%
Avg ROI5.2%
+1.8 pp
3.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.66
−19.34×
×20.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.66
−19.37×
×20.03
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.7K
+$3.0K
$8.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.07
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL53.2%
+148.2 pp
-95.0%
Underwater %0.1%
−98.9 pp
99.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.0%
+8.4 pp
45.6%
Bot %76.7%
+13.3 pp
63.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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