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Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 5PM ET

data as of 2025-10-15 21:56 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.8K−$2.9K$6.7K
Holders42+834
Trades553−304857
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.6%
−12.2 pp
60.8%
Avg ROI-4.3%
−6.4 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.66
+12.17×
×0.49
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.25
+11.74×
×0.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$29
−$696
$725
Recent buyer dominance0.87
+0.04
0.84
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.0%
−172.5 pp
80.5%
Underwater %98.1%
+98.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %60.5%
−21.9 pp
82.4%
Bot %68.7%
−19.8 pp
88.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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