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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

data as of 2025-09-29 21:28 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.5K+$1.6K$843
Holders16+97
Trades87+2562
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.2%
−36.2 pp
76.5%
Avg ROI-4.6%
−5.1 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.35
+0.52×
×0.83
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.27
+0.43×
×0.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.8K
+$1.4K
$356
Recent buyer dominance0.99
−0.01
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-21.3%
−39.6 pp
18.3%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.6%
−49.9 pp
98.5%
Bot %48.6%
−49.9 pp
98.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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