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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9 PM ET

data as of 2025-06-18 23:35 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.6K−$4.5K$8.0K
Holders20+317
Trades503+312191
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.7%
+9.1 pp
48.6%
Avg ROI-0.1%
−2.5 pp
2.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.45
+0.81×
×0.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.30
+0.50×
×0.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$116
−$972
$1.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.78
−0.22
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-23.8%
−49.2 pp
25.3%
Underwater %70.6%
+31.5 pp
39.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %89.0%
−0.4 pp
89.4%
Bot %89.0%
−0.4 pp
89.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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