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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

data as of 2026-04-22 09:14 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K+$4.5K$5.5K
Holders172+25147
Trades2.0K+801.9K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.6%
+13.8 pp
39.8%
Avg ROI0.9%
−0.4 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.59
−34.76×
×35.35
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.59
−35.70×
×36.29
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.5K
+$1.3K
$1.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.72
−0.25
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL69.3%
+166.3 pp
-97.0%
Underwater %0.6%
−94.7 pp
95.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.2%
−1.4 pp
82.5%
Bot %79.4%
−0.1 pp
79.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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