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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-13 02:58 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.7K−$5.2K$6.9K
Holders100+1585
Trades903+26877
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.1%
−6.2 pp
55.3%
Avg ROI4.8%
+0.7 pp
4.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×264.64
+263.92×
×0.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×227.58
+226.83×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$196
−$2.4K
$2.6K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.02
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.6%
−137.1 pp
37.5%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %60.4%
+2.1 pp
58.3%
Bot %63.3%
−2.5 pp
65.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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