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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 12PM ET

data as of 2025-10-17 16:55 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K−$9.6K$25K
Holders100+298
Trades1.8K−6032.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.2%
−13.7 pp
54.0%
Avg ROI6.2%
+1.4 pp
4.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×51.62
+51.11×
×0.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×44.86
+44.37×
×0.49
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$170
−$42
$212
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.39
0.51
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.7%
−204.1 pp
106.4%
Underwater %96.8%
+96.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %65.1%
+6.8 pp
58.3%
Bot %60.9%
+0.2 pp
60.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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