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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

data as of 2026-03-04 22:34 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$15K$25K
Holders378+119259
Trades3.6K+4633.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate28.4%
−22.5 pp
50.9%
Avg ROI-5.8%
−4.5 pp
-1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×28.94
+28.34×
×0.60
Top-20 avg cost vs price×24.93
+24.31×
×0.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.6K
−$5.0K
$15.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.07
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.7%
−158.4 pp
62.6%
Underwater %88.3%
+88.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.5%
−13.3 pp
86.7%
Bot %71.6%
−14.1 pp
85.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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