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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

data as of 2026-07-15 12:34 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$61K+$54K$7.6K
Holders451+10441
Trades3.2K−6523.9K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate64.8%
+11.4 pp
53.4%
Avg ROI1.5%
+0.4 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.91
−7.24×
×8.15
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.91
−7.74×
×8.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$55.7K
+$49.1K
$6.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.02
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL11.8%
+103.0 pp
-91.2%
Underwater %4.7%
−92.8 pp
97.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.6%
−1.4 pp
37.0%
Bot %57.7%
−0.8 pp
58.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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