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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-06 20:09 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.4K−$4.7K$6.1K
Holders103−6109
Trades727+127600
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.9%
−11.1 pp
52.0%
Avg ROI2.3%
+1.6 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.79
+11.99×
×0.80
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.13
+16.32×
×0.81
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$220
−$1.8K
$2.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.09
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.4%
−119.4 pp
25.1%
Underwater %99.1%
+99.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.4%
+5.9 pp
29.5%
Bot %45.2%
+2.4 pp
42.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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