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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-13 02:28 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K+$7.3K$4.3K
Holders212−16228
Trades1.3K−3101.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.2%
+2.2 pp
45.0%
Avg ROI16.1%
−2.1 pp
18.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.75
−13.39×
×14.13
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.74
−11.38×
×12.12
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.9K
+$6.7K
$4.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.01
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL34.8%
+126.9 pp
-92.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.8 pp
99.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %31.7%
+1.1 pp
30.7%
Bot %54.0%
+4.0 pp
50.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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