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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

data as of 2026-07-13 12:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$25K+$13K$12K
Holders313−53366
Trades2.1K−7002.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.4%
+0.2 pp
47.2%
Avg ROI13.1%
+0.6 pp
12.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×37.35
+37.06×
×0.30
Top-20 avg cost vs price×37.91
+37.62×
×0.29
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$22.9K
+$14.5K
$8.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.07
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.2%
−286.6 pp
189.4%
Underwater %99.4%
+99.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.0%
+0.2 pp
40.8%
Bot %55.1%
+2.4 pp
52.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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