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XRP Up or Down - July 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

data as of 2026-07-18 08:43 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$112−$54$166
Holders26+323
Trades105+2184
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.9%
−4.6 pp
53.5%
Avg ROI2.0%
−0.2 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.60
+12.07×
×0.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×25.49
+24.97×
×0.52
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$23
−$17
$40
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.10
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.1%
−189.8 pp
93.7%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.6%
+17.4 pp
47.2%
Bot %66.7%
+19.0 pp
47.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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