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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

data as of 2026-05-21 16:18 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.8K−$16K$22K
Holders388+14374
Trades2.5K+5322.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.7%
−2.1 pp
50.9%
Avg ROI-0.2%
−1.1 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.32
+7.58×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.18
+7.45×
×0.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.3K
−$7.2K
$12.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.02
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-88.9%
−127.5 pp
38.6%
Underwater %99.3%
+99.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.3%
+4.5 pp
50.7%
Bot %66.7%
+2.8 pp
63.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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