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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

data as of 2026-07-07 13:10 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.3K−$6.1K$8.4K
Holders113−3116
Trades829+86743
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.1%
−2.9 pp
50.0%
Avg ROI0.9%
+0.1 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.62
+8.88×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.48
+9.71×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$205
−$2.9K
$3.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.12
0.83
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.4%
−120.0 pp
29.6%
Underwater %98.0%
+98.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.9%
+9.8 pp
48.1%
Bot %65.8%
+5.9 pp
59.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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