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Will Gianluigi Donnarumma win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

data as of 2025-06-04 04:39 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.2K−$255K$257K
Holders170−229399
Trades8.8K+2.0K6.8K
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.4%
−9.0 pp
52.4%
Avg ROI30.1%
+28.6 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.85
+0.87×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.47
+1.49×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$197
$199
Recent buyer dominance0.71
−0.29
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-60.2%
−62.0 pp
1.7%
Underwater %97.8%
+97.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.7%
−22.9 pp
87.6%
Bot %64.7%
−22.9 pp
87.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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