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Will Billy Mawhiney be the Democratic Nominee for SD-AL?

data as of 2026-03-15 22:29 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$57−$3.2K$3.3K
Holders40+1129
Trades232+131101
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.2%
−22.3 pp
65.5%
Avg ROI22.5%
+9.8 pp
12.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.60
+0.62×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.77
+0.82×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$22
$23
Recent buyer dominance0.58
−0.35
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-37.2%
−41.4 pp
4.2%
Underwater %94.5%
+89.0 pp
5.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.1%
+27.8 pp
20.3%
Bot %48.1%
+27.8 pp
20.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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