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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-12 18:29 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.0K+$3.5K$3.6K
Holders115−3118
Trades1.2K+1321.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.7%
+6.0 pp
48.7%
Avg ROI5.0%
−0.5 pp
5.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.55
−41.82×
×42.37
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.59
−32.94×
×33.54
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.8K
+$2.3K
$1.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.05
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL72.5%
+169.7 pp
-97.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−94.7 pp
94.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.4%
+6.5 pp
57.9%
Bot %72.6%
+11.5 pp
61.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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