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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 23:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.3K−$2.3K$8.6K
Holders140+31109
Trades1.3K−401.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.2%
−1.2 pp
52.4%
Avg ROI2.6%
−1.5 pp
4.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.46
−4.52×
×4.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.49
−4.53×
×5.02
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.8K
−$108
$2.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.09
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL109.0%
+188.4 pp
-79.4%
Underwater %0.8%
−99.1 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.4%
−0.8 pp
60.2%
Bot %69.3%
−3.6 pp
72.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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