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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

data as of 2026-05-08 23:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K−$5.9K$16K
Holders309−27336
Trades3.2K+4252.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.7%
−12.4 pp
54.1%
Avg ROI-1.2%
−4.4 pp
3.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×43.40
+42.84×
×0.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×37.89
+37.34×
×0.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.4K
−$804
$10.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.05
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.3%
−174.6 pp
77.4%
Underwater %90.7%
+90.0 pp
0.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.3%
−4.0 pp
52.3%
Bot %50.0%
−2.4 pp
52.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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