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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

data as of 2026-07-08 06:12 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.5K−$1.5K$3.1K
Holders98+1979
Trades583+136447
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.0%
−2.7 pp
50.6%
Avg ROI1.1%
−1.4 pp
2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.90
+6.18×
×0.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.50
+6.79×
×0.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$325
−$1.1K
$1.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.84
−0.15
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-86.7%
−126.5 pp
39.8%
Underwater %99.5%
+99.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.8%
−5.9 pp
41.7%
Bot %49.6%
−14.0 pp
63.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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