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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

data as of 2025-12-14 18:58 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$24K+$11K$13K
Holders182−1183
Trades2.1K−152.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.2%
+11.6 pp
45.6%
Avg ROI2.1%
−51.2 pp
53.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.66
−37.63×
×38.29
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.65
−32.61×
×33.26
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.2K
+$7.7K
$550
Recent buyer dominance0.85
−0.10
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL53.2%
+150.1 pp
-96.9%
Underwater %0.2%
−97.9 pp
98.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.3%
−6.4 pp
70.7%
Bot %71.4%
−4.9 pp
76.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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