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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

data as of 2026-04-04 00:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K+$4.3K$6.7K
Holders157−50207
Trades1.6K−1801.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.6%
+7.3 pp
47.3%
Avg ROI-0.9%
+0.8 pp
-1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.67
−16.26×
×16.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.65
−15.28×
×15.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.9K
+$1.1K
$1.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.05
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL54.8%
+149.2 pp
-94.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.4 pp
99.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %83.9%
+21.9 pp
62.0%
Bot %84.3%
+21.9 pp
62.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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