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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

data as of 2026-07-23 13:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.7K−$2.8K$10K
Holders123+23100
Trades1.4K+901.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.6%
+1.4 pp
50.2%
Avg ROI0.5%
−0.9 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×38.69
+38.14×
×0.54
Top-20 avg cost vs price×40.77
+40.22×
×0.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.0K
−$2.4K
$6.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.02
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.5%
−181.0 pp
83.4%
Underwater %98.7%
+98.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %62.3%
+2.0 pp
60.3%
Bot %75.6%
+4.0 pp
71.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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