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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

data as of 2025-09-19 03:38 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$106+$72$34
Holders8+62
Trades22+175
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.4%
−3.7 pp
53.0%
Avg ROI-8.0%
−12.8 pp
4.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.55
+3.55×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.27
+3.27×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
−$2
$7
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-76.6%
−76.6 pp
0.0%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.7%
+2.7 pp
0.0%
Bot %2.7%
+2.7 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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