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Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

data as of 2026-05-20 22:15 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$7.6K−$34K$42K
Holders120−5125
Trades1.7K+2731.4K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate61.3%
−21.2 pp
82.5%
Avg ROI13.6%
+13.2 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.22
+7.38×
×0.84
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.71
+8.87×
×0.84
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$26
−$2.7K
$2.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.07
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.2%
−118.7 pp
26.6%
Underwater %99.5%
+93.0 pp
6.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %15.8%
−22.7 pp
38.5%
Bot %15.8%
−23.2 pp
39.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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