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Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 5AM ET

data as of 2025-08-10 09:52 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.0K−$6.6K$16K
Holders44−347
Trades686−68754
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.8%
−4.2 pp
56.0%
Avg ROI2.1%
−3.5 pp
5.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.47
−4.03×
×4.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.46
−4.14×
×4.60
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$544
−$2.0K
$2.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.60
−0.38
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL128.0%
+206.3 pp
-78.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.5%
+8.8 pp
69.8%
Bot %78.8%
+8.7 pp
70.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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