Markets › detail

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?

data as of 2026-05-12 16:00 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$6.7K+$6.3K$402
Holders104+6143
Trades249−11260
NO
0¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate69.3%
+19.6 pp
49.7%
Avg ROI-0.4%
−9.7 pp
9.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.96
−28.91×
×29.87
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.94
−33.16×
×34.10
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$594
+$589
$6
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL6.9%
+103.8 pp
-96.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.8%
−17.9 pp
23.7%
Bot %5.2%
−18.5 pp
23.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse