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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

data as of 2026-05-04 02:15 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$6.1K$17K
Holders353+41312
Trades4.7K+1.1K3.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.1%
−3.4 pp
53.5%
Avg ROI1.3%
−1.6 pp
2.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.47
+2.83×
×0.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.56
+2.91×
×0.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.1K
−$7.0K
$15.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.01
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-70.7%
−125.3 pp
54.7%
Underwater %96.3%
+93.3 pp
3.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.6%
−4.1 pp
63.7%
Bot %67.0%
+0.0 pp
66.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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