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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

data as of 2026-03-27 18:34 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$58K+$38K$20K
Holders488+2486
Trades4.5K−9405.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.0%
+9.6 pp
46.4%
Avg ROI-0.6%
−1.6 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.63
−33.55×
×34.18
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.63
−31.30×
×31.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$30.8K
+$11.6K
$19.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.04
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL59.8%
+156.4 pp
-96.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−92.3 pp
92.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %82.2%
−0.6 pp
82.9%
Bot %81.8%
−0.1 pp
81.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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