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Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration?

data as of 2024-12-16 19:03 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$14K−$90K$104K
Holders103+1489
Trades2.3K+4021.9K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.6%
−11.5 pp
67.1%
Avg ROI-1.2%
−5.2 pp
3.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.02×
×1.02
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.02
−0.02×
×1.04
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$946
+$1.2K
−$263
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-4.3%
−0.4 pp
-3.9%
Underwater %46.9%
−19.7 pp
66.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %12.0%
+1.4 pp
10.6%
Bot %12.0%
+1.3 pp
10.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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