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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

data as of 2025-11-17 09:16 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K−$7.9K$23K
Holders153+27126
Trades943+339604
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.6%
−17.8 pp
65.4%
Avg ROI4.5%
−6.2 pp
10.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×50.00
+49.49×
×0.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×40.74
+40.18×
×0.56
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$209
−$3.2K
$3.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.78
−0.02
0.80
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.2%
−161.8 pp
64.5%
Underwater %99.4%
+99.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %24.9%
−4.3 pp
29.2%
Bot %18.9%
+2.2 pp
16.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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