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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

data as of 2026-05-21 09:09 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$37K+$32K$4.8K
Holders486+79407
Trades2.9K+362.9K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate69.3%
+22.4 pp
46.8%
Avg ROI-0.3%
−3.1 pp
2.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.91
−9.35×
×10.26
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.88
−12.65×
×13.52
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$33.9K
+$29.6K
$4.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.03
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL15.1%
+107.8 pp
-92.7%
Underwater %3.1%
−91.6 pp
94.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %36.9%
−15.1 pp
52.0%
Bot %47.6%
−15.3 pp
62.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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