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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

data as of 2026-03-23 19:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K−$40K$52K
Holders457+23434
Trades5.1K+9374.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.2%
−13.6 pp
58.8%
Avg ROI1.4%
−4.8 pp
6.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.73
+15.94×
×0.80
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.81
+16.02×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.7K
−$30.8K
$41.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.01
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.8%
−122.6 pp
27.8%
Underwater %95.9%
+95.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %79.2%
+0.1 pp
79.2%
Bot %77.0%
−2.0 pp
79.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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