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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-02 21:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K+$4.2K$10K
Holders280+29251
Trades1.6K−3031.9K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.7%
+1.5 pp
49.3%
Avg ROI9.7%
+8.9 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.51
−17.65×
×18.16
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.55
−17.77×
×18.33
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.2K
+$2.4K
$9.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.02
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL81.6%
+176.1 pp
-94.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.4 pp
98.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.4%
−8.0 pp
62.5%
Bot %58.4%
−8.5 pp
66.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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