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Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

data as of 2026-01-20 03:33 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$629−$155K$156K
Holders108−141249
Trades3.0K+7532.2K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate24.9%
−66.9 pp
91.9%
Avg ROI112.9%
+112.4 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.20
+0.20×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.50
+1.50×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$173
$173
Recent buyer dominance0.54
−0.46
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-61.7%
−62.1 pp
0.3%
Underwater %58.2%
+25.8 pp
32.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %10.6%
−39.1 pp
49.7%
Bot %11.8%
−37.0 pp
48.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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