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Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 5PM ET

data as of 2025-08-26 21:58 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K+$9.2K$11K
Holders51−3081
Trades1.2K+1591.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.6%
+3.3 pp
41.3%
Avg ROI2.5%
+3.0 pp
-0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.49
−20.24×
×20.73
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.47
−20.35×
×20.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$68
−$296
$228
Recent buyer dominance0.49
−0.30
0.79
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL116.3%
+211.5 pp
-95.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.9 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %88.2%
+4.4 pp
83.8%
Bot %88.5%
+4.2 pp
84.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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