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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

data as of 2026-07-07 12:47 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.1K−$12K$16K
Holders230−55285
Trades1.8K+3141.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.2%
−0.4 pp
50.5%
Avg ROI7.5%
+6.4 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.04
+5.23×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.39
+6.64×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.0K
−$9.2K
$13.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.06
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-87.4%
−119.6 pp
32.2%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.8%
+0.7 pp
41.1%
Bot %64.1%
+4.7 pp
59.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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