Markets › detail

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 19:34 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$2.4K$14K
Holders378+23355
Trades2.7K+1952.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.1%
−1.9 pp
51.0%
Avg ROI0.0%
−1.2 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.51
−18.76×
×19.27
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.53
−18.93×
×19.46
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.4K
−$4.0K
$13.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.05
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL92.8%
+187.3 pp
-94.5%
Underwater %7.5%
−91.9 pp
99.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.4%
+7.4 pp
30.0%
Bot %43.5%
+10.8 pp
32.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse