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Will Alba Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?

data as of 2026-03-16 13:17 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$29−$20K$20K
Holders46−1056
Trades616+242374
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate19.9%
−63.8 pp
83.7%
Avg ROI76.9%
+77.2 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.43
−0.58×
×1.01
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.54
−0.47×
×1.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$111
$114
Recent buyer dominance0.65
−0.35
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL85.6%
+86.1 pp
-0.6%
Underwater %7.7%
−82.0 pp
89.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %83.4%
+4.3 pp
79.1%
Bot %40.5%
−39.8 pp
80.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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