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Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

data as of 2026-04-07 04:51 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$618−$294K$294K
Holders146+5195
Trades3.4K+2.0K1.4K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.4%
−21.0 pp
64.4%
Avg ROI13.5%
+8.7 pp
4.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.12
+4.17×
×0.95
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.10
+5.16×
×0.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
−$359
$364
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.05
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-81.0%
−86.6 pp
5.7%
Underwater %98.7%
+98.5 pp
0.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %9.8%
−38.3 pp
48.0%
Bot %11.1%
−37.0 pp
48.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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