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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

data as of 2026-07-10 22:34 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K+$958$15K
Holders392+120272
Trades3.5K+7452.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.0%
−0.9 pp
48.9%
Avg ROI1.5%
+0.1 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.96
+8.37×
×0.58
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.17
+8.57×
×0.60
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14.4K
−$556
$15.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-88.9%
−161.3 pp
72.3%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %43.3%
−4.5 pp
47.8%
Bot %52.6%
−6.1 pp
58.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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