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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

data as of 2026-04-29 20:00 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K+$14K$4.5K
Holders145+19126
Trades1.3K−2531.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate80.0%
+38.8 pp
41.2%
Avg ROI1.1%
−0.4 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.82
−6.58×
×7.40
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.85
−6.45×
×7.30
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.3K
+$6.0K
$326
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.05
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL21.0%
+105.9 pp
-84.9%
Underwater %0.8%
−90.3 pp
91.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %63.3%
−11.8 pp
75.1%
Bot %64.1%
−11.7 pp
75.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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