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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

data as of 2026-05-21 13:30 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K−$5.3K$21K
Holders376−81457
Trades3.3K+4102.9K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate62.5%
+12.0 pp
50.5%
Avg ROI1.2%
−2.5 pp
3.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.31
−67.26×
×67.57
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.45
−62.95×
×63.39
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.8K
−$10.0K
$19.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.02
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL158.1%
+256.5 pp
-98.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−94.5 pp
94.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %47.4%
−1.8 pp
49.2%
Bot %60.0%
+1.2 pp
58.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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