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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

data as of 2026-05-05 03:00 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$30K+$16K$15K
Holders355+16339
Trades3.0K+1652.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate83.0%
+33.6 pp
49.4%
Avg ROI1.3%
−0.3 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.66
−64.67×
×65.33
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.78
−62.55×
×63.33
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$26.7K
+$13.0K
$13.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.03
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL52.5%
+150.8 pp
-98.3%
Underwater %11.6%
−84.4 pp
96.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %52.2%
−19.3 pp
71.5%
Bot %53.6%
−19.1 pp
72.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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