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Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 20?

data as of 2026-07-19 06:23 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 20, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
30¢
NO
69¢
YES
30¢
YesY-NNo
Position$133−$193$326
Holders17−724
Trades64+1747
NO
69¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.8%
−22.9 pp
68.7%
Avg ROI10.9%
+10.3 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.97
−0.05×
×1.03
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.97
−0.06×
×1.03
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$46
−$64
$111
Recent buyer dominance0.85
−0.02
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL3.3%
+5.7 pp
-2.4%
Underwater %5.9%
−82.3 pp
88.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.7%
+0.6 pp
2.0%
Bot %49.8%
+22.5 pp
27.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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