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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

data as of 2025-11-24 09:09 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K−$4.7K$23K
Holders121+9112
Trades791−26817
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.7%
−11.7 pp
53.4%
Avg ROI9.0%
+6.8 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×50.00
+49.49×
×0.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×44.83
+44.27×
×0.56
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$910
−$2.0K
$2.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.00
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.6%
−171.0 pp
73.4%
Underwater %99.0%
+98.7 pp
0.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %31.5%
+1.9 pp
29.7%
Bot %17.3%
−8.0 pp
25.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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